Original 2021 statement: Norway will hit 100% electric vehicles by 2025, and other nations will soon follow
What Jim has written about this
“Daily Inspiration” (January 2023)
The cost and complexity of car maintenance will have collapsed with the arrival of electric vehicles because there is really nothing to …
“The Trends Scorecard: Automotive & Transportation - What I Predicted, and What Actually…” (June 2026)
Prediction #2 — “Vehicles become computers on wheels, and a whole new electric DNA takes over” (2014) — Verdict …
Prediction #3 — “Because electric is simpler to build, a flood of new manufacturers shows up” (2017) — Verdict …
The grade: Hit. The 2010s and early 2020s produced a wave of new automotive names that simply could not have existed in the combustion era — a swarm of EV startups, and above all a generation of Chinese manufacturers who used the lower electric barrier to entry to go from nowhere to global force. Fewer parts, fewer moving pieces, lower barrier — more entrants. That played out almost exactly as described.
Read the full pieces on jimcarroll.com:
Daily Inspiration: “It’s time to move from triage to tomorrow!”
The Trends Scorecard: Automotive & Transportation - What I Predicted, and What Actually Happened