7 future calls revisited for Agriculture & Food, including 5 hits, 0 partials, 2 early calls and 0 misses.
Foresight Archive
What Jim said. When he said it. What happened. A dated archive of predictions, calls and retrospective scorecards.
Grade the call.
The purpose is not to claim perfect foresight. It is to revisit dated calls honestly and learn from timing, direction and misses.
A retrospective grading of 25 predictions Jim Carroll published in 2014 about the year 2025.
7 future calls revisited for Construction & Infrastructure, including 3 hits, 1 partials, 3 early calls and 0 misses.
6 future calls revisited for Education, including 5 hits, 0 partials, 1 early calls and 0 misses.
6 future calls revisited for Energy & Utilities, including 5 hits, 1 partials, 0 early calls and 0 misses.
5 future calls revisited for Automotive & Transportation, including 3 hits, 0 partials, 2 early calls and 0 misses.
6 future calls revisited for Financial Services & Banking, including 4 hits, 0 partials, 1 early calls and 1 misses.
7 future calls revisited for Golf, including 4 hits, 0 partials, 2 early calls and 1 misses.
6 future calls revisited for Healthcare, including 2 hits, 2 partials, 1 early calls and 1 misses.
6 future calls revisited for Insurance, including 5 hits, 1 partials, 0 early calls and 0 misses.
7 future calls revisited for Manufacturing, including 4 hits, 1 partials, 2 early calls and 0 misses.
The overall retrospective on more than two decades of forecasting, including the distinction between reading the technology curve and forecasting the friction around adoption.
5 future calls revisited for Retail & Consumer, including 3 hits, 1 partials, 1 early calls and 0 misses.