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The Trends Scorecard: The Final Verdict - What 20+ Years of Predictions Taught Me

The overall retrospective on more than two decades of forecasting, including the distinction between reading the technology curve and forecasting the friction around adoption.

trends-scorecardforesight-archivefinal-verdict
Publish Date2026-09-18
Updated Date2026-09-18
Subject Typeoverall
Period2006–2026

The final Trends Scorecard pulls the industry retrospectives into one forecasting lesson.

The recurring pattern

Across the scorecards, many of the strongest calls came from identifying a structural curve early: cheaper computing, richer data, connected devices, electrification, automation, genomics and new forms of digital behavior.

The harder part was often not the direction of the technology. It was the friction around it: regulation, economics, institutional inertia, capital cycles, skills and ordinary human resistance to change.

Why futurist.info keeps score

The purpose of the Foresight Archive is not to present foresight as certainty. It is to preserve the record so that direction, timing, misses and revisions can all be examined later.

The industry scorecards linked through the Trends Scorecard collection contain the detailed receipts.

Connected knowledge

Sources