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101 Things #042: It's pretty likely that the US will follow the trajectory of the Roman Empire as its...

A dated future observation from Jim Carroll’s December 7, 2021 “101 Things We Know About Our Future” list.

It's pretty likely that the US will follow the trajectory of the Roman Empire as its democracy goes into its death spiral
101-thingsforesight-receipt2021historical-political-thesis
Publish Date2021-12-07
Updated Date2026-09-18
Made Date2021-12-07
Horizonnow
Outcomeopen
Confidencemedium

Original 2021 statement: It’s pretty likely that the US will follow the trajectory of the Roman Empire as its democracy goes into its death spiral

What Jim has written about this

From “Daily Inspiration: “It’s time to move from triage to tomorrow!”” (January 2023)

Right now, someone has the perfect idea in mind to put your business model into a death spiral - and you might not notice till it is too late

From “Daily Inspiration: “Every great future must at one moment in time confront its most dangerous delusions!”” (June 2022)

So with that in mind, here are some scenarios for your darker future. Each of these is possible. And in fact, I think it’s pretty likely that at least four of the items on this list will come together in the next ten years. From a future planning process, you need to factor heightened political, business, and societal volatility into your planning.

From “Daily Inspiration: (Grading My 2014 Predictions About 2025) - “Sometimes you need not be right you just need to be bold!”” (January 2025)

#18 - Most industries have gone upside down . Entire industries were flipped on their back by some pretty big trends. Genomic, or DNA-based medicine, led us into a world in which we could more easily understand what health conditions we were susceptible to or at risk for throughout our life. It moved us from a world in which we fix you after you are sick — to one in which we know what you are likely to become sick with and come up with a course of action before things go wrong.  Similarly, most industries “went upside down.” Claude.AI: Industries “Going Upside Down” Grade: Correct. Analysis: Preventive medicine and predictive analytics have indeed transformed many industries. The global predictive analytics market reached $10.5 billion in 2023. Industries from healthcare to manufacturing now focus on prevention rather than reaction.


Read the full pieces on jimcarroll.com:

Daily Inspiration: “It’s time to move from triage to tomorrow!”
Daily Inspiration: “Every great future must at one moment in time confront its most dangerous delusions!”
Daily Inspiration: (Grading My 2014 Predictions About 2025) - “Sometimes you need not be right you just need to be bold!”

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