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101 Things #051: Most new homes will have driveway drone pads with an automatic storage locker as a...

A dated future observation from Jim Carroll’s December 7, 2021 “101 Things We Know About Our Future” list.

Most new homes will have driveway drone pads with an automatic storage locker as a standard feature
101-thingsforesight-receipt2021
Publish Date2021-12-07
Updated Date2026-09-18
Made Date2021-12-07
Horizonnow
Outcomeopen
Confidencemedium

Driveway dronepads. Automatic robo-lockers. These two innovations with last mile delivery will forever change global supply chains!

— Jim Carroll

Original 2021 statement: Most new homes will have driveway drone pads with an automatic storage locker as a standard feature

What Jim has written about this

From “Daily Inspiration: “Driveway dronepads. Automatic robo-lockers. These two innovations will forever change global supply chains!”” (February 2020)

I’m observing how one my clients - a luxury home builder in Houston - actually plans to include ‘delivery drone pads’ as a part of every driveway for future builds. That might be combined with automatic storage lockers which will automatically grab and store just-delivered packages for safe-keeping!

In my “20 Trends into 2030” piece, I wrote a single dense paragraph about what retail looks like at the end of the decade. It packs several of my long-running calls into one place. While we used to go to stores to get the stuff that we need, we now find that the majority of stuff comes to us via a wide variety of automated, intelligent last mile delivery technologies - delivery bots, automated drones and more. Most homes now have drone pads on their driveways and robotic storage lockers that safeguard the product after delivery. When you actually do go out to get things, your car takes care of much of the process - it has become a shopping cart with credit card payment technology built in. Malls? They’ve become museums if not just entertainment hubs - the entire focus for commercial retail real-estate has evolved to logistics hubs, shipment warehouses, drone-ports and more.

The grade: — Hit, mostly. The big structural moves are real in 2026. “The stuff comes to us” is the dominant pattern. The car genuinely has become a shopping cart with payment built in. And the reinvention of retail real estate is exactly on script — struggling malls are being converted into experience and entertainment destinations on one hand, and into last-mile logistics hubs, fulfilment centers and “dark” distribution space on the other. The one piece running behind the paragraph is the literal “drone pads on every driveway” image — which brings us to the prediction I want to flag honestly.

I leaned into this one hard, more than once. In 2018, in an interview for a logistics magazine, and again in a 2020 post built around one of my favorite lines, I painted a near-future of ubiquitous drone delivery landing on pads built into people’s driveways. “Driveway dronepads. Automatic robo-lockers. These two innovations with last mile delivery will forever change global supply chains!” I’m observing how one my clients - a luxury home builder in Houston - actually plans to include ‘delivery drone pads’ as a part of every driveway for future builds. That might be combined with automatic storage lockers which will automatically grab and store just-delivered packages for safe-keeping! We will see the mainstreaming of local drone delivery tech in major urban centres faster than we might think.


Read the full pieces on jimcarroll.com:

Daily Inspiration: “Driveway dronepads. Automatic robo-lockers. These two innovations will forever change global supply chains!”
The Trends Scorecard: Retail & Consumer - What I Predicted, and What Actually Happened

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