Original 2021 statement: The concept of ‘just-in-time learning’ will come to dominate most of our education system in the years to come
What Jim has written about this
From “Daily Inspiration: (Grading My 2014 Predictions About 2025) - “Sometimes you need not be right you just need to be bold!”” (January 2025)
#3 - Much of the world has ‘gone up.’ One consequence of mass urbanization is that you only have so much space to place people and the infrastructure that goes with it. Two solutions: dig down, or build up. We’ll see more of the latter as various groups figure out how to capitalize on new, innovative thinking with ‘skyscraper’ technology. For example, we’re already seeing rapid advances in both the concept and practice of vertical farming — and we will see the emergence of a new profession of people known as ‘vertical farming infrastructure managers.’ Big, tall buildings involving innovative new ideas will be one of the business growth stories in the years before 2025. Claude.AI: Vertical Development (“Going Up”). Grade: Correct. Analysis: Vertical farming and skyscraper development have indeed accelerated. By 2023, the global vertical farming market will reach $4.2 billion, with projections to reach $15.7 billion by 2025. Major cities like Singapore have pioneered vertical farming initiatives, and skyscraper construction has continued to break records.
#8 - The concept of TV as a ‘physical device’ has disappeared. By 2025, it will seem to be a quaint idea that many of us have physical devices known as ‘televisions’ - we might see a few in museums. Instead, most of us will carry around a variety of small ‘beaming’ technologies, embedded in our watches, mobile devices, glasses, car dashboards, clothing, and just about everywhere else. The technology will let us instantly place a high-definition video and audio stream anywhere, at any time, on demand. YouTube, by this point, was a video delivery system that was something from the “olden days.” Claude.AI: TV as Physical Device Disappearing. Grade: Somewhat Correct. Analysis: While traditional TVs haven’t disappeared, streaming and multi-device viewing have become dominant. By 2023, streaming accounted for over 50% of TV viewing time, with multiple devices serving as viewing platforms.
#19 - The concept of an education degree has come to an end; “just-in-time knowledge factories” dominate the educational landscape . University degrees disappeared; tenure was out the window. The concept of a resume was gone; you simply beamed your knowledge-genome to interested skills partners. The rule of the economy became just-in-time knowledge: it was your ability to get the right knowledge, at the right time, for the right purpose, that accelerated you into opportunity. Claude.AI: End of Traditional Education Degrees. Grade: Didn’t Happen . Analysis: While alternative education models have grown, traditional degrees remain important. However, micro-credentials, boot camps, and continuous learning platforms have gained significant traction. The online education market reached $350 billion in 2023.
From “What’s the future of education - and what should we do about it?” (December 2008)
All of these sessions have focused on the key trends impacting the world of education on a long term basis. It’s certainly a far-reaching topic - education twenty years from now will likely look nothing like what it does today.
Consider the kids in this picture. Most of them will work in careers that don’t yet exist; they’ll have multiple careers throughout their lifetime; they’ll constantly have to upgrade, enhance and rebuild their knowledge; they’ll find themselves having to grab new knowledge on a “just-in-time” basis. Providing for such a reality requires a fundamental rethinking a lot of the current assumptions that are fundamental to the education system.
Related to this — I’ve often explained that the incredible challenges young people will face come from the rapid rate of change that envelopes us — and with so much change, we need to be prepared to learn darned quickly. Hence, we need to provide the skill of “just-in-time” knowledge” — I explain what it is, and why it will be so critical … and what the elements of “just in time knowledge” are, and how we can bring this idea into the classroom.
From “Daily Inspiration: “It’s time to move from triage to tomorrow!”” (January 2023)
The oil industry is over. It’s a sunset industry in decline as renewables come to dominate all future spending
Just-in-time insurance will dominate the industry within a decade
Read the full pieces on jimcarroll.com:
Daily Inspiration: (Grading My 2014 Predictions About 2025) - “Sometimes you need not be right you just need to be bold!”
What’s the future of education - and what should we do about it?
Daily Inspiration: “It’s time to move from triage to tomorrow!”