Prediction

Formal education is fundamentally transformed by just-in-time knowledge by 2025

A 2020 future call revisited in Jim Carroll's 2026 Education Trends Scorecard.

trends-scorecardreceipteducationoriginal-year-2020

Publish Date	2026-09-18
Updated Date	2026-09-18
Outcome	early

The original call

Original year: 2020

2026 assessment

Scorecard verdict: Early

Just-in-time learning became normal behavior, but formal degree structures changed much more slowly than forecast. The scorecard calls the institutional transformation early and incomplete.

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Industries

Industries Education & Learning

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Domains

Domains Society, Skills & Work
Domains AI & Machine Intelligence
Domains Connectivity & Digital Experience

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Scorecard

Scorecards The Trends Scorecard: Education - What I Predicted, and What Actually Happened

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Sources

Sources The Trends Scorecard: Education - What I Predicted, and What Actually Happened

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Go deeper

Related ideas, trends and context

IndustriesEducation & LearningThe central challenge in education is no longer access to knowledge. It is learning at the speed at which knowledge changes.DomainsSociety, Skills & WorkChanging skills, careers, demographics, generational values and the organizational structures of work.DomainsAI & Machine IntelligenceArtificial intelligence, machine learning, generative systems and autonomous agents that increasingly perform cognitive work.DomainsConnectivity & Digital ExperiencePervasive connectivity, immersive interfaces and the blending of physical and digital experiences.ScorecardsThe Trends Scorecard: Education - What I Predicted, and What Actually Happened6 future calls revisited for Education, including 5 hits, 0 partials, 1 early calls and 0 misses.

From Jim's archive

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ARTICLE · Sun Jun 28The Trends Scorecard: Education - What I Predicted, and What Actually Happened