The signal
Many companies and governments have dropped degree requirements from job postings. Research suggests actual hiring practices have changed much less than the postings.
Where it could lead
Opening jobs to skilled people without degrees widens the talent pool and changes the role of colleges and training programs.
Evidence that would strengthen the case
- Data showing more non-degree hires in skilled roles
- Trusted, portable skills credentials that employers accept
- Promotion and pay tied to demonstrated skills
What could prevent it
- Hiring managers keep defaulting to degrees
- Skills assessments prove unreliable or biased
- Economic downturns bring back credential filters