Original 2021 statement: Human longevity in industrialized nations will undergo the first significant decline, dropping an average of 10 years, mostly with those who think science is not a thing
What Jim has written about this
From “Daily Inspiration: “It’s time to move from triage to tomorrow!”” (January 2023)
Next month will mark 3 years since individuals and organizations began to go through the largest disruption they will ever know. With lockdowns, a staggering loss of human life, work-from-home, and the rapid emergence of a digital lifestyle and e-commerce infrastructure - we all had to learn to adapt quickly.
If you think about it, for a time, the future fell off the table; we were all too busy thinking about how to get through the next month, let alone the next 5 or 10 years. And yet, in the last several months, I’ve noticed during my calls about upcoming events with several CEOs that a key theme has emerged - perhaps we are through the worst, the thinking goes, and so, it’s time to start looking to the future again.
We’re obviously shifting from driving cars based on gas and internal combustion engines to those based on batteries and electric - and it will happen faster than you think
From “The BIG Future: The Longevity Divide” (March 2023)
ON average, the babies of 2013 will have their first child at 31. That is two years later than their parents and five years later than their grandparents. They are most likely to get married at 33 - and the 2046 wedding will set them back an eye-watering £39,000.
The key issue as we go forward: where there is a crisis, there is an opportunity for innovative thinking. We are in a period of time that involves tremendous challenges; and yet, when we step back 10 or 20 years from now, we will see a number of organizations that stepped up to the challenge and pursued some pretty bold concepts and ideas, all of which led to a continued increase in longevity - for those who choose to participate.
healthcare workers, teachers, and science and research professionals themselves will be hesitant to include such regions on their list of potential recruitment locations - what doctor wants to go to work in a region in which a majority of people think that healthcare science is a fake thing, or where they might be arrested for living up to the Hippocratic oath? How many teachers want to build a carer in a region in which politicians attack them for simply doing their job?
From “Decoding Tomorrow: 30 Megatrends - #24 The Five Generation Society: “A world of five active generations creates unprecedented opportunities for innovation, connection, and shared prosperity - not to mention opportunities to help to fix a broken society.”” (July 2025)
What’s the trend? For the first time, we are routinely seeing five generations simultaneously active in society. This creates unprecedented challenges and opportunities for wealth transfer, housing, care systems, and intergenerational business models. It’s a pretty significant trend, and one often not covered. If you’d like, you can dig it in more depth in my report, The Five-Generation Society: Navigating the Global Challenges and Opportunities of Intergenerational Expansion (2025-2035). Here’s the PDF .
We are, globally, in the midst of an unprecedented demographic shift. For the first time in human history, five distinct generations are simultaneously active in society at scale, creating a demographic phenomenon that is fundamentally reshaping wealth transfer, housing, care systems, and business models worldwide.
A major demographic tipping point will be reached in the US and other Western nations as the population aged 65+ outnumbers those under 18 for the first time.
Read the full pieces on jimcarroll.com:
Daily Inspiration: “It’s time to move from triage to tomorrow!”
The BIG Future: The Longevity Divide
Decoding Tomorrow: 30 Megatrends - #24 The Five Generation Society: “A world of five active generations creates unprecedented opportunities for innovation, connection, and shared prosperity - not to mention opportunities to help to fix a broken society.”