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One Year Later: The Great R&D Capital Reallocation

One year ago, in August 2025, I published Megatrend #26: The Great R&D Capital Reallocation as part of my 30 Megatrends series. Time to grade myself.

signal2025-2026megatrends-one-year-later
Publish Date2026-09-10
Updated Date2026-09-18
Observed Date2026-09-10
Strengthstrong

Observed in Jim Carroll’s archive on September 10, 2026.

One year ago, in August 2025, I published Megatrend #26: The Great R&D Capital Reallocation as part of my 30 Megatrends series. Time to grade myself.

Source: Megatrends One Year Later – #26: The Great R&D Capital Reallocation – What I Predicted, and What’s Actually Happening.

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TrendsThe Great R&D Capital ReallocationResearch capital is shifting rapidly toward a smaller number of technologies and geographies perceived to offer outsized future returns.IndustriesTechnology & TelecomConnectivity is becoming ubiquitous while intelligence moves everywhere: cloud, edge, devices, networks and autonomous systems increasingly operate as one fabric.IndustriesHealthcare, Pharma & Life SciencesHealthcare is moving from episodic treatment toward continuous prediction, personalization and accelerated biological discovery.IndustriesEnergy & UtilitiesThe grid is shifting from centralized delivery toward a distributed, storage-rich, software-defined energy platform.IndustriesManufacturing & IndustrialManufacturing is becoming an intelligent, adaptive system in which software, robotics, materials science and data increasingly define physical production.IndustriesEconomic DevelopmentRegions increasingly compete on speed: the ability to align talent, infrastructure, energy, research and capital with industries that are themselves being reinvented.DomainsAI & Machine IntelligenceArtificial intelligence, machine learning, generative systems and autonomous agents that increasingly perform cognitive work.DomainsComputing & DataThe computing, data and digital infrastructure that makes new forms of intelligence, simulation and automation possible.DomainsHealth, Biotech & LongevityThe convergence of medicine, biotechnology, genomics, connected health, predictive care and longevity science.DomainsEnergy & EnvironmentElectrification, storage, renewables, grid reinvention and technologies reshaping the economics of energy and climate response.

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ARTICLE · Wed Sep 09Megatrends One Year Later – #26: The Great R&D Capital Reallocation – What I Predicted, and What's Actually Happening