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The Trends Scorecard

Jim Carroll revisits decades of predictions, grades what happened, and keeps both the hits and the misses visible.

trends-scorecardforesight-archiveseries
Publish Date2026-09-18
Updated Date2026-09-18
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The Trends Scorecard is the accountability layer of futurist.info.

Instead of treating old forecasts as disposable, the series goes back to dated calls, records what happened, and distinguishes between a correct direction, an early timeline, a partial outcome and a genuine miss.

That makes the archive more useful. Foresight is not improved by pretending every prediction was right; it is improved by learning which methods held up and where timing, economics or human behavior changed the result.

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From Jim's archive

These are the source records currently attached directly to this knowledge object. Concept-lineage and collection pages can provide a wider historical trail.